Maybank Advisors The Window Is Closing
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Maybank Advisors · Professional services AI operating series

01 · The economics

The Window Is Closing

The economics of the AI transition in professional services

Maybank working thesis

Professional services firms may have a limited period in which AI-assisted delivery becomes materially more efficient before client expectations, competitive pricing and renewal cycles fully absorb that efficiency.

Our current working estimate is roughly 18–24 months. It is a Maybank estimate — not an industry benchmark or forecast — and the period could be materially shorter in a fast-moving market.

The important point is not whether the window closes in month 17 or month 26. It is the economic mechanism underneath it: your firm sells professional work. AI can reduce the time and coordination required to produce some of that work. Your commercial model determines who keeps the gain.

Who this is for. Managing partners, owners, COOs, CFOs and service-line leaders at firms that make money by converting professional expertise and capacity into client revenue.

White paper · 2026

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1 · The exposureThe exposure nobody put on the balance sheet

Most professional services firms still have an economic model connected, directly or indirectly, to human time.

The contract may say hourly, day rate, retainer, project, fixed fee or value-based fee. But underneath many of those arrangements sits a familiar production equation:

people × available capacity × delivery time → client work → revenue

Artificial intelligence changes one of those variables. It can reduce time spent on activities such as:

It does not remove professional judgment. But it can change how much labor and coordination sit around that judgment. That creates an economic question before it creates a technology question:

If the work becomes cheaper or faster to produce, who captures the difference?

2 · Where it landsEfficiency can land in four places

Recovered capacity does not automatically become profit.

Where the gain lands

AI-assisted delivery efficiency is an input. Four destinations, chosen or defaulted into.

AI-assisted delivery efficiency

An input, not an outcome

Margin

Same work, lower delivery cost.

Capacity / volume

The same team handles more work.

Price

Efficiency is shared with the client through lower fees.

Absorbed time

Capacity disappears into existing operations.

AI creates capacity. Management decides whether that capacity becomes an economic result.

Maybank framework

That decision is the heart of the transition.

3 · The conversionWhy the billable-hour model makes the issue visible

Legal services provide unusually good public data on the conversion of professional time into cash.

Clio’s 2025 industry data reports average US law-firm utilization of 38%, realization of 88% and collection of 93%. Applied to an eight-hour working day:

The professional-time funnel

An eight-hour working day, converted to cash at published US law-firm averages.

8.0 hours worked

3.0 billable hours

38% utilization

2.6 hours invoiced

88% realization

2.4 hours collected

93% collection

Roughly 30% of the eight-hour day reaches collected revenue.

A legal-industry example, not a benchmark for every professional services sector.

Source: Clio, 2025 Legal Trends Report / 2025 law-firm KPI benchmarks. Utilization 38%, realization 88%, collection 93%.

Published research

The reason it matters is structural. A firm can recover time at several points in the operating model, but the commercial value depends on what happens after the time is recovered.

4 · The expectationThe productivity expectation is already material

Thomson Reuters’ 2025 Future of Professionals research surveyed 2,275 professionals across legal, tax, accounting, audit, risk and trade.

Expected capacity release

Respondent expectations and Thomson Reuters estimates, compounded from the weekly figure.

5 hours

expected time saved per professional per week

240 hours

per year

~$19,000

estimated annual value per professional

~$32B

estimated combined annual impact across US legal and tax/accounting

These are respondent expectations and Thomson Reuters estimates — not measured Maybank client outcomes.

Source: Thomson Reuters, Future of Professionals Report 2025.

Published research

Even so, the expected magnitude is large enough to force a commercial question. If an hourly engagement takes fewer hours, the client may simply receive a smaller invoice. The firm did the innovation. The client captured the economics.

5 · The fee modelThe fee model changes the result

This is why AI efficiency and commercial strategy cannot be separated.

Delivery efficiency × fee model

Neither axis is sufficient on its own.

Delivery efficiency — low to high

Efficiency without capture

The work gets faster while revenue remains directly connected to time. Some of the value can move to the client automatically.

The gain can be captured

Delivery efficiency and a commercial structure capable of converting some of it into margin, capacity or strategic pricing.

Exposed and standing still

Neither captured efficiency nor revenue insulated from time compression.

Commercially protected, operationally unchanged

The fee model is less directly tied to time, but delivery has not produced meaningful new capacity.

Fee model — time-linked Outcome / fixed

Maybank framework

Reading the quadrants

A firm with high delivery efficiency and time-linked fees has done the harder operational work and given the benefit away. A firm with outcome-oriented fees and unchanged delivery has commercial protection it is not yet using. Neither position is stable, and neither is a failure — they are different halves of the same problem.

6 · Professional standardsOne profession has already made the pricing question explicit

This issue is not theoretical in every sector.

ABA Formal Opinion 512 addresses generative AI in legal practice and discusses, among other obligations, the reasonableness of fees. For hourly work, lawyers generally bill for actual time spent rather than time that would have been required without the technology. The opinion also discusses how AI-assisted efficiency can affect the reasonableness analysis for other fee structures.

That guidance applies to lawyers operating under the relevant professional rules — not to professional services generally. But it demonstrates the larger point:

The commercial consequences of AI-assisted efficiency are already entering professional standards, not merely technology discussions.

7 · The windowWhy Maybank believes there is a window

The 18–24 month estimate rests on four conditions that we believe are temporary.

The four temporary protections

The conditions the 18–24 month estimate rests on. Conceptual, with no statistics attached.

Protection 1

Pricing changes in cycles

Many client relationships reprice through renewal, annual rate review or new scope rather than continuously.

Protection 2

Buyers have incomplete visibility

Most buyers do not yet have a standardized method for measuring how AI changes the cost of professional work.

Protection 3

Competitive repricing is uneven

Different firms and sectors are adopting, pricing and disclosing AI-assisted delivery at different speeds.

Protection 4

Quality and risk still matter

Clients may value efficiency, but they also remain concerned about accuracy, confidentiality, professional judgment and accountability.

These conditions will not disappear simultaneously. They can also accelerate one another.

Maybank framework

The window timeline

Each protection fades rather than expiring on a date. No band endpoint is empirically measured.

Now6 mo12 mo18 mo24 mo30 mo
Estimate 18–24 mo
Pricing-cycle protection
Buyer visibility gap
Uneven competitive repricing
Quality / risk caution

Conceptual Maybank model, not a forecast. Any of these conditions could change earlier, and the shaded region is a judgment about when several are likely to have weakened together.

Bar opacity represents remaining protection, not a measured quantity.

Maybank estimate

8 · The valueWhat could the window be worth?

The answer should be calculated from the firm’s own economics.

A useful starting formula for capturable delivery value is:

Annual fee base × delivery-cost ratio × efficiency improvement × period before repricing

Then subtract implementation cost, new technology cost, retained capacity, reinvestment and any price shared with clients.

Illustrative example

Assume an annual fee base of $10M, delivery cost at 50% of revenue — $5M — and a delivery-efficiency improvement of 20%. The annual economic value of the released delivery capacity is $5M × 20% = $1.0M. If fee levels held for 18 months, that is $1.5M.

That is not automatically $1.5M of EBITDA. It is $1.5M of theoretical delivery capacity or cost opportunity, before implementation costs and before management decides whether the value becomes margin, volume, price or reinvestment.

Illustrative value of released delivery capacity

$10M annual fee base · 50% delivery-cost ratio · fees assumed unchanged during the modeled period.

Delivery efficiency12 months18 months24 months30 months
10%$0.50M$0.75M$1.00M$1.25M
20%$1.00M$1.50M$2.00M$2.50M
30%$1.50M$2.25M$3.00M$3.75M
40%$2.00M$3.00M$4.00M$5.00M

This is theoretical delivery-capacity and cost opportunity before implementation costs and before management decides whether the value becomes margin, volume, price or reinvestment. It is not profit, EBITDA, a forecast or an expected return.

Run the Engagement Margin Model →

Prefer the argument narrated?

The executive briefing connects the market research to the Pyxl operating case and the practical question to ask inside your own firm.

Watch the 18-minute briefing

Replace every assumption with your own economics before relying on it.

Maybank illustrative model

9 · Internal evidenceInternal operating evidence: Pyxl

Maybank first tested the operating logic inside Pyxl, a professional services company with real clients, delivery teams and a real P&L.

One affiliated company · not a forecast for your firm

Pyxl margin bridge

August 2025 → Q2 2026 · approximately nine months

+1,300 bps

Gross-margin expansion

Flows through EBITDA

~500 bps

Additional operating leverage below gross profit

+1,800 bps

EBITDA-margin expansion

Pyxl Intelligence was deployed as part of a broader change to how work was produced, coordinated and managed. The 13-point gross-margin expansion reflects stronger delivery economics and therefore flows through to EBITDA. EBITDA margin expanded by 18 points in total, indicating approximately five additional points of operating leverage below gross profit.

Internal Pyxl operating result from one company. It is not a forecast, benchmark or promise of results for another firm. Detailed causal attribution remains subject to Controller confirmation.

Internal operating evidence

10 · AllocationThe window matters only if the firm decides what the gain is for

Margin for its own sake is not a strategy.

Recovered economics can fund something that is less exposed to time compression.

What the captured value funds

Five destinations, each less exposed to time compression than billable hours.

Captured delivery value

Productized services

Defined scope, repeatable delivery and a fee tied more closely to the outcome than the hours.

Recurring revenue

Monitoring, managed services, governance, assurance or other continuing value.

Owned intellectual property

Methods, data, benchmarks, knowledge systems and proprietary tooling.

Capability investment

Talent, technology, acquisitions or new service lines.

Strategic price

Improving client value or competitiveness without automatically giving all of it away.

Decide what the recovered economics will fund before ordinary operations absorb them.

Maybank framework

11 · Conviction and executionThe real gap is between conviction and execution

Thomson Reuters’ 2025 research shows a useful tension.

Four separate survey measures

Four independent questions from one survey. Not stages of a funnel.

80%

Believe AI will have a high or transformational impact on their profession within five years

53%

Believe their organization is already experiencing at least one benefit from AI adoption

38%

Expect high or transformational change in their own organization this year

30%

Believe their organization is moving too slowly in AI adoption

Each bar is measured against 100% of respondents independently.

Source: Thomson Reuters, Future of Professionals Report 2025, n=2,275.

Published research

The pattern is clear: the profession broadly believes the change is material. The harder question is whether firms are converting that belief into an operating and commercial system quickly enough to capture the economics.

12 · The failure modeHow firms spend the window without using it

The failure is rarely that leadership did nothing. It is that activity occurred in the wrong order.

The deliberation trap

A common sequence in which every decision is reasonable and the order is wrong.

Months 0–3

Evaluate tools

Months 3–6

Run enthusiastic pilot

Months 6–9

Discover inconsistent delivery method

Months 9–12

Discover contract / confidentiality issue

Months 12–15

Resolve governance and ownership

Months 15–18

Begin real deployment

A better sequence starts with one service line and resolves the operating, governance and commercial questions together.

Every individual decision can be reasonable. The sequence can still consume most of the commercial advantage.

Maybank illustrative failure sequence

13 · The next quarterWhat to do in the next ninety days

Not the next two years. The next quarter.

The next ninety days

Ten actions in four groups. Not the next two years — the next quarter.

Size

Economics and work

1

Size the economics

Use actual fee, labor, utilization and margin information from one or two recurring service lines.

2

Map the work

Identify where time and coordination are consumed.

Decide

Gain, contracts and owner

3

Decide where the gain lands

Margin, capacity, volume, price or reinvestment. Do not let the current fee model answer by default.

4

Read the executed agreements

Identify what the work and information permit before choosing the architecture.

5

Pick one service line

Start where the work repeats and the economics matter.

6

Name an owner

One person with authority over the operating decision.

Build

Service line, standard and governance

7

Build the standard

Document the method before scaling the AI layer.

8

Put review and governance inside the work

Do not bolt them on later.

Measure

Baseline and allocation

9

Measure the before state

Delivery time, review, rework, cost, capacity and relevant commercial metrics.

10

Write down what the value will fund

Captured efficiency without an allocation decision tends to disappear into ordinary operations.

Maybank framework

14 · The riskThe structural risk, stated plainly

A firm does not need to believe Maybank’s exact 18–24 month estimate to accept the underlying exposure.

If AI materially reduces the cost or time required to produce professional work, firms eventually have to answer three questions:

How will the work change?

How will the commercial model change?

What will the firm build with the economics it captures in between?

Waiting is also an answer. It leaves the existing delivery and fee models to make those decisions by default.

SourcesSources and method

Published research

Maybank frameworks and estimates

The 18–24 month window is a Maybank working estimate. The four temporary protections, the sensitivity matrix, the efficiency and fee-model matrix, the deliberation sequence and the capital-allocation framework are Maybank analytical models, not external datasets.

Internal operating evidence

Pyxl figures are internal operating results from one company, confirmed against its own accounts. They are not a forecast, benchmark or promise of results for another firm.

Find out where your firm stands

The readiness assessment looks across delivery, data, tooling and governance. The Engagement Margin Model lets you replace our illustrative assumptions with your own fee and cost structure.

Take the assessment Model the numbers Book a partner review

Continue the series →

02 · The delivery system

The Prompt Library Playbook

How recurring professional work becomes a governed AI operating asset.

03 · The control system

Governance for Professional Practices

Using AI while keeping the work reviewable, accountable and defensible.

Maybank Advisors · Nashville · Charleston